How should I bet – on small odds or to rely on larger odds? This is a question which has been asked since there is betting in the world. Personally, I think it’s much better to bet on lower odds and in the next few minutes I will try to show you why I do believe it.
The first and most important thing that makes me bet on lower odds is the margin of the bookmakers. Everybody knows that the bookmakers’ profit comes from the so-called margin or the difference between the actual probability for an event to happen and what they offer as odds. If you do a simple calculation you can easily see that the margin is significantly greater at the higher odds and relatively less in the lower ones.
The most likely reason for this is that the smaller coefficients allow us easily to spot the deviations. One thing is to bet on a match with odds of 1.8 and another to do it with odds of 1.72. However, if you decide to bet for a win of the underdog it would probably be the same whether the odds are 20 or 21.
Another reason for me to bet more often at lower rates is purely motivational. There is no greater motivator than success and who has made a series of 10 or more unsuccessful bets knows how difficult it is to continue. That’s why I prefer to bet on matches that are with lower odds which ensure higher success rate.
Apart from this, the matches with lower odds give the players higher variability. When betting on higher odds any combination is simply unthinkable. You expect to win just one from 20 bets and this is the best scenario, let alone to combine them somehow. Let’s take for example the exact difference in the matches from NBA. There are really huge odds – bigger than 30, but the success rate doesn’t allow any combinations.
The lower margin, higher success rate and greater opportunities for combination are just some of the reasons that make me play and bet only on matches which are with lower odds. I am sure there are many more, but for me these three are more than enough.
An interesting opportunity to bet on football matches which is offered by most of the betting houses is to bet on the exact time of the first goal. In this type of betting the bettor is required to guess at what minute the first goal in the match will fall. Of course, it is incredibly difficult to guess the exact minute so the ninety minutes of the match are divided into periods. Different bookmakers have different periods, but most of them are offering six periods of 15 minutes, since it is most convenient in terms of the pause between the two halves.
In some bookmakers you can find periods of 10 minutes, with the last sections before halftime and full time divided into 5 minutes.
It is important to know that in this type of betting the added time in the match is included to the previous period. So if the first goal in the match is scored in the fourth minute of the continuation of the first half or in the 49th minute, it will be counted as a goal in the 45th minute and will fall in the period between 30 to 45 minutes.
Why this type of betting is so interesting and how it could become a profitable way of playing? The reason is that it allows easy tracking of statistical data and hence allows the creation of different strategies for playing.
Of course, to achieve a winning game you need more than simply checking the past matches and to bet according to them. The bookies also carefully monitor trends and derive the betting odds according to them. Knowing the trends, however, would give you an advantage over the other bettors.
The simplest example is connected with the matches of the favorites. The most anticipated thing when such a team plays with an underdog is the first goal to be scored from the outset. Most bets would go in that direction. A quick check will show whether this is true or not. If it appears that the trend is not in favor of an early goal then this may be a great bet against other players.
Of course, this is just one of many options to bet on the exact time of the first goal scored. Your creativity will bring other ideas with which to have an emotional and profitable game.
The superstars of Paris Saint Germain will play their second match of the French league as guests of Ajaccio. In the first round of the league PSG managed to take only a draw 2-2 against Lorient at home, which wasn’t a dream start for Carlo Ancelotti’s players.
In this match PSG’s players created around 16 goal attempts but only Zlatan Ibrahimovic managed to score. Although he made it twice, the defence conceded two goals from just 6 goals attempts, which certainly speaks of problems in both the attack and the defence line. Surely one of the main factors that influenced for this is the presence of too many new players in the squad. The time is not enough for the new names to fit in the team and to do what the fans expect from them.
The question is whether one week between the two matches was sufficient to smooth out the problems and so the players of PSG to appear at their best against Ajaccio. Personally I don’t believe that.
Unlike PSG the team of Ajaccio succeeded to gain a killing efficiency in their first match. The visit was in Nice and for the entire match Ajaccio’s attackers managed to reach the scoring position exactly three times. Of these three, however, fell the only goal of the match, which gathered all three points for the players of Ajaccio.
The team stood well in defence. The opponent’s attackers were able to shoot eight times to the net, but with zero efficiency.
The bookmakers naturally placed PSG as the favourite in this match, but my preference will go to the competitors of Ajaccio. Asian Handicap odds for this meeting offer odds of 2.025 with an advantage for Ajaccio on +0.5;+1 goal. This will be my prediction for the match.